New Market Report: Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report Q2 2015

Quarterly growth on the Bosnian mobile market remained flat in Q214, despite a relatively low penetration rate, owing to sluggish economic growth and discounting of inactive SIM cards. However, a considerable proportion of the population still do not have regular access to mobile services, a situation we attribute to poor network coverage in underserved areas and the inability of low income earners in these areas to afford the service. With the uptake of 3G and multiplay services in urban areas, the operators are less inclined to embark on expensive and less rewarding network deployment projects in rural areas. We expect this to weigh on mobile subscriptions growth over our forecast period, through to 2018, with the penetration rate remaining below 100%.

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Key Data

* The mobile market was flat at 0.4%quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q214, as penetration declined to 88.1%.
* The latest regulatory data show that the total number of active fixed telephone lines of dominant operators was almost flat quarter on quarter with 0.01% growth at 869,309.We estimate that the broadband market grew by 11.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2013, driven by rising demand for mobile data and cable broadband connections.

Key Trends & Developments

Consolidation continued in the fixed-line sector with BlicNet receiving regulatory approval to acquire Telrad Net and United Group, the Dutch holding firm controlled by US-based Kohlberg Kravis Roberts (KKR), entering in talks to buy Bosnian cable television and broadband internet service provider M&H Company. These developments are in line with our view that consolidation will invigorate Bosnia's fixed-line sector by giving the alternative operators sufficient scale to challenge the dominance of the three incumbent operators.

In a recent regulatory filing, cable TV operator Telemach has revealed plans to acquire five small local cable TV operators. Two of these - Lukavac-based BHB Cable TV and Sarajevo-based HKB Net - had...

The Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Bosnia-Herzegovina's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Bosnia-Herzegovina.

Key Benefits

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