We have positively revised our outlook for the German mobile market in Q1 2016. The German mobile market remained positive in the first three quarters of 2015 without posting negative subscriber losses. We believe that the market will be split into three main operators after O2 purchased E-Plus to become the dominant provider. Following consolidation, we believe the market will further split between the main three operators. These will look at convergence and advanced services (LTE, fibre, etc) and the remaining no-frills segment, led by MVNOs and resellers, to drive revenue growth. The strength of the latter will continue to have a negative impact on ARPU, with one of the lowest figures in Western Europe. The saturated market makes convergence and bundling core strategies to survive, and to invest into advanced services, and we would expect consolidation to occur in the fixed broadband market, as a better to compete with stronger fully convergent fixed-mobile players. This will further increase the tension between the two trends of the market, as consolidation will lead operators to focus on premium services to recover their investments.
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Latest Updates & Industry Developments
Mobile subscriptions jumped by a total of 769,000 in the first three quarters of 2015 after witnessing a significant decline in the aftermath of the O2 purchase of E-Plus due to inactive sim deactivation.
ARPU remains very low in Germany despite the premium strategy, with figures between EUR10 and EUR15 for the three main operators.
The fixed market will develop though convergence, led by Deutsche Telekom's move to IP services, VDSL and fibre, IPTV and quad-play bundles.
Data ARPUs are rising and we believe this segment will be crucial to market growth opportunity.
The Germany Telecommunications Report features BMI Research's independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Germany's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.
BMI's Germany Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Germany.
Key Benefits
* Benchmark BMI's independent telecoms industry forecasts for Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the German telecoms market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in Germany's telecoms sector
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New Report Available: Germany Telecommunications Report Q1 2016
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Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001
Contact Name: Bill Thompson
Contact Email: press@fastmr.com
Contact Phone: 1-413-485-7001