Germany Freight Transport Report 2016 - New Market Research Report

We will continue to see growth in Germany's freight sector in 2016 and over the medium term, despite the sector being affected by the continued slowdown in the e urozone economy and weak emerging market demand. Increased domestic consumption is replacing exports as a key driver for economic activity, resulting in stronger import growth, outpacing that of exports over the next few years, helping growth in most freight modes.

Economic Outlook

With the household consumption outlook looking increasingly positive, the long-awaited rebalancing of the German economy away from net exports and toward domestic demand is underway. While we believe Germany's current account surplus is currently peaking on the back of lower oil prices, the narrowing of the surplus over the next five years will be limited by tight fiscal policy. Germany remains among the top five largest global economies, but is set to slip over the long term. Two unexpected events in H215 - the Volkswagen emissions scandal and the surging inflows of foreign migrants to Germany - are likely to be neutral-to-positive for near-term growth, but the long-term effects are more difficult to predict. If anything, both bolster our core outlook for rebalancing in Germany's economy toward domestic demand. Our German growth forecasts for 2015 and 2016 remain above-consensus at 1.8% and 1.9%, respectively (versus consensus estimates of 1.7% and 1.8%).

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Trade Outlook

The Germany Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

BMI Research's Germany Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the German freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in the German freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Germany.
* Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

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